The Cleveland Cavaliers are favored by 3 points ahead of a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Orlando Magic at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Sunday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET on ABC. The series is tied 3-3. The matchup has an over/under of 195 points.
Keep reading for the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Magic (+3) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.4 points of each other.
- Orlando is 51-31-0 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 3-point underdogs this season, the Magic have an ATS record of 18-11.
- Cleveland has a 38-42-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 18-21-2 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 195
- The model predicts a total (219.1 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (195 points). Take the over.
- Cleveland’s games have finished with more than 195 points 81 times so far this season.
- Orlando’s games have had over 195 points 75 times this season.
- So far this season, 40 out of the Cavaliers’ 82 games have hit the over.
- Magic games have hit the over 36 out of 82 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-155)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 111, Magic 108
- Cleveland has been the favorite in 53 games this season and won 37 (69.8%) of those contests.
- Orlando has won in 17, or 38.6%, of the 44 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Paolo Banchero Points Prop: Under 24.5
- Paolo Banchero delivers 22.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game for the Magic.
- The 24.5-point over/under for Banchero on Sunday is 1.9 higher than his scoring average.
- This season Banchero is 43-for-82 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Cavaliers are putting up 112.6 points per game (20th-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 110.2 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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