Mavericks vs. Clippers Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 6

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 2, 2024

The Los Angeles Clippers will look to pull off an upset as 8-point underdogs for a decisive Game 6 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Friday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Mavericks are up 3-2 in the series. The point total for the matchup is 208.

Keep reading for the best bets you can place on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Clippers (+8) to Cover

  • The model favors the Mavericks by 3.2 points, a much smaller margin than the 8-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Clippers to cover.
  • Los Angeles is 38-44-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Clippers have been an underdog by 8 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
  • Dallas’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
  • The Mavericks are 12-5 ATS this season when playing as at least 8-point favorites.

Think the Clippers will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 208

  • The model predicts a total (229.3 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (208 points). Take the over.
  • Dallas’ games have finished with more than 208 points 75 times so far this season.
  • So far this season, 68 Los Angeles’ games have featured more than 208 points scored.
  • A total of 36 out of the Mavericks’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
  • In the Clippers’ 82 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-325)

  • Prediction: Mavericks 116, Clippers 113
  • This season, Dallas has won 37 out of the 49 games, or 75.5%, in which it has been favored.
  • Los Angeles has been an underdog in 18 games this season and has come away with the win five times (27.8%) in those contests.

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5

  • Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
  • He averages 0.5 more rebounds than his prop bet Friday of 4.5.
  • He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in 29 of 63 games with a prop so far this season.
  • The Clippers are 19th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.0) and fifth-best in rebounds conceded (42.2).

Check out all available player props for Kyrie Irving and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

James Harden Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5

  • James Harden is averaging 16.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 8.5 assists per contest. He’s sinking 42.8% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 2.6 treys per game.
  • He has averaged 0.6 more rebounds per game (5.1) than his prop bet total in Friday’s game (4.5).
  • Oddsmakers have listed a rebound total for him 72 times this season, and he has hit the over in 33 of those games.
  • The Mavericks are averaging 42.9 boards per game (21st-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).

Check out the prop bets available for James Harden and other Clippers players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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