The Cleveland Cavaliers will look to pull off an upset as 4-point underdogs for a decisive Game 6 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Orlando Magic at Amway Center on Friday, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Cavaliers hold a 3-2 lead in the series. The matchup has a point total of 200.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Cavaliers (+4) to Cover
- The model favors the Magic by 3.2 points, just 0.8 fewer than the 4-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Cleveland is 38-42-2 against the spread this season.
- The Cavaliers have been an underdog by 4 points or more 21 times this season, and covered the spread in 13 of those matchups.
- Orlando is 51-31-0 against the spread this season.
- The Magic are 22-7 ATS this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
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Total: Over 200
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (219.4 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (200 points). Bet on the over.
- In 71 games this year, Orlando and its opponent have combined for more than 200 points.
- Cleveland’s games have finished with over 200 points scored 78 times this year.
- The Magic and their opponents have combined to hit the over 36 out of 82 times this season.
- In the Cavaliers’ 82 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 40 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (-170)
- Prediction: Magic 111, Cavaliers 108
- Orlando has won 30, or 78.9%, of the 38 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Cleveland has been an underdog in 29 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (37.9%) in those contests.
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Caris LeVert Rebounds Prop: Under 2.5
- Caris LeVert is putting up 14.0 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He is draining 42.1% of his shots from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per contest.
- His per-game rebounding average of 4.1 is 1.6 higher than his prop bet on Friday (2.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 29 of his 48 games with a prop set this season.
- With 39.9 rebounds allowed per game, the Magic rank best in the league. They rank 25th in the league by grabbing 42.3 boards per contest.
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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