The Miami Heat will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 14-point underdogs for a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics are on top 3-1 in the series. The matchup’s point total is 201.5.
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Celtics vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Celtics | -14 | 201.5 |
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Injury Report as of May 1
Celtics: Jay Scrubb: Out (Knee), Kristaps Porzingis: Out (Calf)
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Terry Rozier: Out (Neck), Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Hip), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Celtics (-14) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (201.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Celtics vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Celtics Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 120.6 (2nd) | Points Scored | 110.1 (26th) |
| 109.2 (5th) | Points Allowed | 108.4 (3rd) |
| 46.3 (2nd) | Rebounds | 42.3 (25th) |
| 10.7 (13th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.3 (26th) |
| 16.5 (1st) | 3pt Made | 12.5 (18th) |
| 26.9 (14th) | Assists | 25.8 (18th) |
| 11.3 (1st) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
Best Betting Site for Celtics vs. Heat
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Celtics Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 74 | 26.9 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 |
| Jaylen Brown | 70 | 23.0 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Derrick White | 73 | 15.2 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Jrue Holiday | 69 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Payton Pritchard | 82 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 42 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 71 | 19.3 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 68 | 12.9 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Caleb Martin | 64 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Kevin Love | 55 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 |
Betting Trends
- The Celtics have covered the spread 42 times in 82 games.
- Boston is 8-5 as 14-point favorites or more.
- There have been 43 Celtics games (out of 82) that went over the total this year.
- In 78 games this season, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 201.5 points.
- Celtics games average 229.8 total points this season, 28.3 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Heat have 40 wins in 82 games against the spread this season.
- The Heat have played 82 games this season, and 35 of them have gone over the total.
- There have been 68 Miami’s games this year with more than 201.5 points scored.
- The average total for Heat games is 218.5 points, 17.0 more than this game’s over/under.
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