The Orlando Magic will look to overcome the odds as 5-point underdogs for Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Tuesday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on NBA. The series is tied 2-2. The point total in the matchup is 202.5.
Aiming to make an informed wager on Tuesday’s game? See the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Magic (+5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Cavaliers taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (2.6 points). Lean towards taking the Magic.
- Orlando is 51-31-0 ATS this year.
- The Magic are 8-7 ATS this season when playing as at least 5-point underdogs.
- Cleveland’s ATS record is 38-42-2 this season.
- When playing as at least 5-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 9-17-1.
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Total: Over 202.5
- The model projects a total (219.5 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (202.5 points). Take the over.
- In 75 games this season, Cleveland and its opponent have combined to score more than 202.5 points.
- There have been 67 Orlando’s games this season with more than 202.5 points scored.
- In the Cavaliers’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 40 times.
- Magic games have hit the over 36 out of 82 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-205)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 111, Magic 108
- Cleveland has been the favorite in 53 games this season and won 37 (69.8%) of those contests.
- Orlando has been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (38.6%) in those games.
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Caris LeVert Rebounds Prop: Under 2.5
- Caris LeVert posts 14.0 points, 4.1 boards and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 42.1% from the field and 32.5% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
- He averages 1.6 more rebounds than his over/under on Tuesday (which is 2.5).
- Bookmakers have listed a rebound over/under for him 48 times this season, and he has gone over in 29 of those games.
- The Magic are 25th in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.3) and best in rebounds allowed (39.9).
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Paolo Banchero Points Prop: Under 21.5
- On a per-game basis, Paolo Banchero gives the Magic 22.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- Banchero’s 22.6 points per game are 1.1 points more than Tuesday’s over/under.
- Banchero has gone over on his points prop on 43 occasions this season (in 82 games with such a prop).
- This season, the Cavaliers are posting 112.6 points per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and ceding 110.2 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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