Pacers vs. Bucks Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 29, 2024

The Milwaukee Bucks will look to pull off an upset as 4-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Fiserv Forum on Tuesday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on TNT. The Pacers are on top 3-1 in the series. The matchup’s point total is 217.

Check out below to find the best bets you can make on Tuesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

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Spread: Bucks (+4) to Cover

  • While DraftKings has the Pacers winning by four, the model has the Bucks taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (4.9 points). Take the Bucks.
  • Milwaukee’s ATS record is 35-46-1 this season.
  • The Bucks are 3-4 ATS this year when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
  • Indiana has gone 44-35-3 ATS this season.
  • When playing as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 17-14-1.

Think the Bucks will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 217

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (21.9 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Indiana’s games have finished with more than 217 points 75 times so far this year.
  • Milwaukee’s games have finished with over 217 points scored 66 times this year.
  • The Pacers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 42 out of 82 times this season.
  • In the Bucks’ 82 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Bucks (+150)

  • Prediction: Bucks 120, Pacers 119
  • This season, Indiana has been favored 44 times and won 27, or 61.4%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has come away with four wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Over 24.5

  • Pascal Siakam puts up 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest, shooting 53.6% from the field and 34.6% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • The 24.5 points prop total set for Siakam on Tuesday is 2.8 more than his season scoring average (21.7).
  • Siakam is 35-for-82 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
  • On offense, the Bucks are the fourth-best squad in the league (119.0 points per game). Defensively, they are 21st (116.4 points allowed per game).

Explore all available player props for Pascal Siakam and other Pacers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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