Thunder vs. Pelicans Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 28, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored by 5 points heading into a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on NBA. The Thunder are currently ahead 3-0 in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 208 points.

Our computer predictions for Monday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Pelicans (+5) to Cover

  • The Thunder are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (5 to 1.9 points). Take the Pelicans and the points.
  • New Orleans’ ATS record is 44-36-2 this year.
  • When playing as at least 5-point underdogs this year, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 8-4.
  • Oklahoma City is 46-35-1 ATS this season.
  • The Thunder have an ATS record of 23-14 when playing as at least 5-point favorites this season.

Think the Pelicans will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 208

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (20.0 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Oklahoma City and its opponent have broken the 208-point mark 76 times this season.
  • New Orleans’ games have had over 208 points 67 times this season.
  • A total of 43 out of the Thunder’s 82 games this season have hit the over.
  • Pelicans games have hit the over 36 out of 82 times this season.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-192)

  • Prediction: Thunder 115, Pelicans 113
  • This season, Oklahoma City has been favored 61 times and won 47, or 77%, of those games.
  • New Orleans has come away with 18 wins in the 32 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

Which team do you think will end up victorious? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 2.0 steals (first in league) and 0.9 blocks.
  • He has averaged 5.5 rebounds per game, the same as his prop bet on Monday.
  • This will be his 79th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over 37 times.
  • The Pelicans are 12th in the NBA in rebounds per game (44.0) and seventh in rebounds allowed (42.3).

See all available player props for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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