Nuggets vs. Lakers Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 28, 2024

The Denver Nuggets are favored by 6.5 points heading into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Ball Arena on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The Nuggets are ahead 3-1 in the series. The matchup’s point total is 217.

Our computer predictions for Monday’s game can help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

Ready to put your picks to the test? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and bet on this matchup today!

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) to Cover

  • The DraftKings line for this game has the Nuggets favored by 6.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (8.1 points).
  • Denver is 38-42-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Nuggets are 20-19-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • Los Angeles is 38-44-0 against the spread this year.
  • When playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Lakers have an ATS record of 3-1.

Think the Nuggets will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 217

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (12.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • A total of 54 times so far this season, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 217 points.
  • There have been 68 Los Angeles’ games this year with more than 217 points scored.
  • A total of 35 out of the Nuggets’ 82 games this season have gone over the point total.
  • A total of 47 Lakers games this season have hit the over.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-258)

  • Prediction: Nuggets 119, Lakers 111
  • This season, Denver has been favored 72 times and won 53, or 73.6%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has been an underdog in 35 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (42.9%) in those contests.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Nikola Jokic Points Prop: Over 27.5

  • Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per game.
  • The 27.5-point total set for Jokic on Monday is 1.1 more points than his season scoring average.
  • In 81 games this season with a points prop total, Jokic has hit the over 39 times.
  • The Lakers are sixth in the NBA in points scored (118.0 per game) and 23rd in points conceded (117.4).

See all available player props for Nikola Jokic and other Nuggets players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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