Suns vs. Timberwolves Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 27, 2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to pull off an upset as slight 1-point underdogs for a decisive Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at Footprint Center on Sunday, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET on TNT. The Timberwolves hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The over/under is 213 for the matchup.

Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

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Spread: Timberwolves (+1) to Cover

  • While DraftKings has the Suns winning by one, the model has the Timberwolves taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (3.7 points). Take the Timberwolves.
  • Minnesota is 40-40-2 against the spread this year.
  • The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 12-9 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this year.
  • Phoenix is 35-45-2 against the spread this season.
  • When playing as at least 1-point favorites this season, the Suns have an ATS record of 25-34-2.

Think the Timberwolves will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 213

  • The model projects a total (224.2 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (213 points). Take the over.
  • Phoenix and its opponent have broken the 213-point mark 68 times this year.
  • So far this season, 58 Minnesota’s games have featured more than 213 points scored.
  • The Suns and their opponents have combined to hit the over 36 out of 82 times this season.
  • So far this season, 41 out of the Timberwolves’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-105)

  • Prediction: Timberwolves 113, Suns 111
  • This season, Phoenix has won 39 out of the 60 games, or 65%, in which it has been favored.
  • Minnesota has come away with nine wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.

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Kevin Durant Points Prop: Under 25.5

  • Kevin Durant averages 27.1 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.2 blocks.
  • Durant has recorded 27.1 points per game in the 2023-24 season, 1.6 points higher than Sunday’s over/under.
  • Durant has gone up against a points prop bet in 77 games this season, and he’s hit the over 36 times.
  • In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the league offensively (113.0 points scored per game) and best defensively (106.5 points conceded).

Check out all available player props for Kevin Durant and other Suns players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5

  • Anthony Edwards delivers 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game for the Timberwolves.
  • He has grabbed 5.4 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Sunday’s game (5.5).
  • This will be his 81st game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has hit the over on 38 occasions.
  • The Suns are grabbing 44.1 boards per game this year (10th-ranked in NBA), and they’ve allowed just 41.3 rebounds per game (third-best).

Check out the prop bets available for Anthony Edwards and other Timberwolves players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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