The Dallas Mavericks bring a 2-1 series record into Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Mavericks are listed as favorites by 6 points for the game, which will be broadcast on ABC at 3:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 209 points.
Aiming to make an informed wager on Sunday’s game? Dig into the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Clippers (+6) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (2.5 points) is significantly less than the 6-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mavericks, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Clippers to cover.
- So far this year, Los Angeles has put together a 38-44-0 record against the spread.
- The Clippers have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 6 points or more this season (in six opportunities).
- Dallas’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread 14 times this season (14-8 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
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Total: Over 209
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (229.5 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (209 points). Bet on the over.
- In 73 games this year, Dallas and its opponent have combined for more than 209 points.
- Los Angeles’ games have had over 209 points 67 times this year.
- A total of 36 out of the Mavericks’ 82 games this season have gone over the point total.
- A total of 36 Clippers games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-230)
- Prediction: Mavericks 116, Clippers 113
- Dallas has won 37, or 75.5%, of the 49 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Los Angeles has been an underdog in 18 games this season and has come away with the win five times (27.8%) in those contests.
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Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Daniel Gafford puts up 11.0 points, 1.6 assists and 7.6 rebounds per contest.
- His rebounding average of 7.6 is lower than his over/under on Sunday (5.5).
- This will be his 72nd game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over on 34 occasions.
- In 2023-24, the Clippers are 19th in the league in rebounds (43.0 per game) and fifth-best in rebounds allowed (42.2).
Explore all available player props for Daniel Gafford and other Mavericks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kawhi Leonard Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Kawhi Leonard is putting up 23.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 52.5% of his shots from the field and 41.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per contest.
- He averages 0.6 more rebounds than his over/under on Sunday (which is 5.5).
- This will be his 74th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over on 33 occasions.
- So far this year, the Mavericks are grabbing 42.9 boards per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and ceding 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Kawhi Leonard and other Clippers players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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