Nuggets vs. Lakers: NBA Playoffs Game 4 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 27, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 26, 2024

The Denver Nuggets lead 3-0 heading into a deciding Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are 3.5-point favorites for the game, which goes live on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 219.5.

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Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -3.5 219.5

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Injury Report as of April 27

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Reggie Jackson: Questionable (Ankle)

Lakers: Jalen Hood-Schifino: Out (Back), Christian Wood: Questionable (Knee), Jarred Vanderbilt: Questionable (Foot), Cameron Reddish: Questionable (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Lakers (+3.5)
Total Pick Over (219.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Lakers Avg. (Rank)
114.9 (14th) Points Scored 118 (6th)
109.6 (6th) Points Allowed 117.4 (23rd)
44.4 (7th) Rebounds 43.1 (18th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 8.2 (30th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 11.8 (24th)
29.5 (3rd) Assists 28.5 (5th)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 13.4 (19th)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Lakers

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 79 26.4 12.4 9 1.4 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 59 21.2 4.1 6.5 1 0.7 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 81 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.7
Aaron Gordon 73 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 82 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.2

Lakers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
LeBron James 71 25.7 7.3 8.3 1.3 0.5 2.1
Anthony Davis 76 24.7 12.6 3.5 1.2 2.3 0.4
D’Angelo Russell 76 18 3.1 6.3 0.9 0.5 3
Austin Reaves 82 15.9 4.3 5.5 0.8 0.3 1.9
Rui Hachimura 68 13.6 4.3 1.2 0.6 0.4 1.4

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-2 this year.
  • As 3.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 30-30-2 against the spread.
  • There have been 35 Nuggets games (out of 82) that hit the over this season.
  • In 50 games this season, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 219.5 points.
  • The average total for Nuggets games this season has been 224.5, five points higher than the total for this game.
  • The Lakers have 38 wins in 82 games against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread, as a 3.5-point underdog or more, Los Angeles is 9-10.
  • The Lakers have seen 47 of their 82 games go over the point total.
  • Los Angeles’ games have finished with over 219.5 points scored 65 times this year.
  • The average total points scored in Lakers games this year (219.5) is 16 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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