The Orlando Magic are favored by 2 points ahead of Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Amway Center on Saturday, tipping off at 1:00 PM ET on TNT. The Cavaliers lead the series 2-1. The matchup’s point total is set at 201.5.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Saturday’s game.
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Spread: Magic (-2) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Magic favored by two, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (2.7 points).
- So far this season, Orlando has put together a 51-31-0 record against the spread.
- The Magic have been favored by 2 points or more 34 times this season, and covered the spread in 24 of those games.
- Cleveland is 38-42-2 against the spread this season.
- The Cavaliers are 13-14 ATS this season when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 201.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (18.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Orlando and its opponent have broken the 201.5-point mark 68 times this year.
- There have been 75 Cleveland’s games this season with more than 201.5 points scored.
- In the Magic’s 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
- Cavaliers games have gone over the point total 40 out of 82 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (-130)
- Prediction: Magic 111, Cavaliers 109
- Orlando has been the favorite in 38 games this season and won 30 (78.9%) of those contests.
- Cleveland has been chosen as underdogs in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (37.9%) in those games.
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Paolo Banchero Points Prop: Under 24.5
- Paolo Banchero posts 22.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- The 24.5 point total set for Banchero on Saturday is 1.9 more than his scoring average on the season (22.6).
- So far this season, Banchero is 43-for-82 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- In 2023-24, the Cavaliers are 20th in the league offensively (112.6 points scored per game) and seventh on defense (110.2 points allowed).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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