The New Orleans Pelicans will look to pull off an upset as slight 1-point underdogs heading into Game 3 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Smoothie King Center on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET on TNT. The Thunder are up 2-0 in the series. The matchup has a point total of 209.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game can help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (-1) to Cover
- The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.2 points of each other).
- Oklahoma City is 46-35-1 against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have an ATS record of 35-26 when playing as at least 1-point favorites this season.
- New Orleans has gone 44-36-2 ATS this season.
- The Pelicans are 20-11-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 209
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (19.4 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- In 75 games this season, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined to score more than 209 points.
- There have been 67 New Orleans’ games this year with more than 209 points scored.
- In the Thunder’s 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 43 times.
- So far this season, 36 out of the Pelicans’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-118)
- Prediction: Thunder 115, Pelicans 114
- Oklahoma City has won 47, or 77%, of the 61 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- New Orleans has been victorious in 18, or 56.2%, of the 32 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jalen Williams Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5
- Jalen Williams posts 19.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- His rebounding average — 4.0 — is 0.5 lower than his over/under on Saturday.
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by sportsbooks 32 times this season in 72 games with that prop available.
- On the glass, the Pelicans are 12th in the NBA in rebounds (44.0 per game). They are seventh in rebounds conceded (42.3 per game).
Check out all available player props for Jalen Williams and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Brandon Ingram Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- On a per-game basis, Brandon Ingram gives the Pelicans 20.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.7 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- He averages 0.4 fewer rebounds than his over/under on Saturday (which is 5.5).
- He has gone over on rebounds in 30 of 68 games with that prop available so far this season.
- The Thunder are averaging only 42.0 rebounds per game (fourth-worst in NBA), and they are allowing 44.7 boards per contest (23rd-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Brandon Ingram and other Pelicans players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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