Celtics vs. Heat: NBA Playoffs Game 3 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 27, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 25, 2024

The Boston Celtics enter Game 3 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat as 9-point favorites. The playoff matchup on Saturday starts at 6:00 PM ET on TNT from FTX Arena. The series is tied 1-1. The point total is 204 points for this contest.

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Celtics vs. Heat Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Celtics -9 204

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Injury Report as of April 27

Celtics: Jay Scrubb: Out (Knee), Luke Kornet: Probable (Calf)

Heat: Delon Wright: Questionable (Personal), Terry Rozier: Out (Neck), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Heat (+9)
Total Pick Over (204)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Celtics vs. Heat Stat Rankings

Celtics Avg. (Rank) Heat Avg. (Rank)
120.6 (2nd) Points Scored 110.1 (26th)
109.2 (5th) Points Allowed 108.4 (3rd)
46.3 (2nd) Rebounds 42.3 (25th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.3 (26th)
16.5 (1st) 3pt Made 12.5 (18th)
26.9 (14th) Assists 25.8 (18th)
11.3 (1st) Turnovers 11.8 (4th)

Best Betting Site for Celtics vs. Heat

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Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 74 26.9 8.1 4.9 1.0 0.6 3.1
Jaylen Brown 70 23.0 5.5 3.6 1.2 0.5 2.1
Kristaps Porzingis 57 20.1 7.2 2.0 0.7 1.9 1.9
Derrick White 73 15.2 4.2 5.2 1.0 1.2 2.7
Jrue Holiday 69 12.5 5.4 4.8 0.9 0.8 2.0

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyler Herro 42 20.8 5.3 4.5 0.7 0.1 3.1
Bam Adebayo 71 19.3 10.4 3.9 1.1 0.9 0.2
Duncan Robinson 68 12.9 2.6 2.8 0.7 0.2 2.8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 75 11.9 3.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.9
Caleb Martin 64 10.0 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.5 1.3

Betting Trends

  • The Celtics’ record against the spread is 42-36-4.
  • Boston’s ATS record as 9-point favorites or more is 19-15-2.
  • This season, 43 of the Celtics’ 82 games have hit the over.
  • Boston’s games have had more than 204 points scored on 76 occasions this season.
  • The average total for Celtics games this season has been 229.8, 25.8 points higher than the total for this game.
  • The Heat are 40-39-3 against the spread this year.
  • The Heat have played 82 games this season, and 35 of them have hit the over.
  • There have been 65 Miami’s games this year with more than 204 points scored.
  • This season, Heat games have resulted in an average scoring total of 218.5, which is 14.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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