The New York Knicks bring a 2-0 series lead into Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The 76ers enter the matchup as favorites by 5.5 points for the game, which airs on TNT at 7:30 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 204.
If you are trying to make an informed wager on Thursday’s game, see the best bets available for this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Knicks (+5.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Knicks in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the 76ers favored and the difference between the two is 5.9 points.
- New York has a 43-36-3 record against the spread this season.
- The Knicks are 3-7 ATS this year when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
- So far this season, Philadelphia has put together a 48-34-0 record against the spread.
- The 76ers have been favored by 5.5 points or more 31 times this season, and covered the spread in 21 of those contests.
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Total: Over 204
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (19.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Philadelphia’s games have finished with more than 204 points 73 times so far this season.
- New York’s games have finished with over 204 points scored 68 times this year.
- 76ers games have gone over the point total 43 out of 82 times this season.
- Knicks games have gone over the point total 37 out of 82 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (+195)
- Prediction: Knicks 112, 76ers 111
- Philadelphia has entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 38, or 77.6%, of those games.
- New York has been victorious in 14, or 40%, of the 35 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Tobias Harris Points Prop: Under 12.5
- Tobias Harris posts 17.2 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.7% from the field and 35.3% from downtown with 1.3 made treys per contest.
- Harris’ 17.2 points per game are 4.7 points higher than Thursday’s over/under.
- He has had a points prop in 77 games this season, and has gone over 31 times.
- In 2023-24, the Knicks are 19th in the league on offense (112.8 points scored per game) and second-best defensively (108.2 points allowed).
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Donte DiVincenzo Points Prop: Under 15.5
- Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 15.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. He is sinking 44.3% of his shots from the field and 40.1% from 3-point range, with 3.5 triples per contest (fourth in league).
- DiVincenzo is putting up 15.5 points per game, the same as Thursday’s prop total.
- DiVincenzo has hit the points prop over at a 31-for-70 clip this season.
- The 76ers are averaging 114.6 points per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this year, while ceding 111.5 points per contest (ninth-ranked).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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