The Boston Celtics are favored by 14.5 points for Game 2 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at TD Garden on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics are up 1-0 in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 205.5 points.
Looking to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game? Find out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
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Spread: Heat (+14.5) to Cover
- The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.2 points of each other).
- Miami has a 40-39-3 record against the spread this season.
- Boston has a 42-36-4 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 14.5-point favorites this season, the Celtics have an ATS record of 7-5.
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Total: Over 205.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (223.8 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (205.5 points). Bet on the over.
- Boston’s games have finished with more than 205.5 points 76 times so far this season.
- Miami’s games have gone over 205.5 points on 61 occasions this season.
- The Celtics and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 43 out of 82 times this season.
- Heat games have gone over the point total 35 out of 82 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-1350)
- Prediction: Celtics 119, Heat 105
- Boston has been the favorite in 79 games this season and won 63 (79.7%) of those contests.
- Miami has been victorious in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jaylen Brown Points Prop: Under 20.5
- Jaylen Brown posts 23.0 points, 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- The 20.5-point total set for Brown on Wednesday is 2.5 less than his season scoring average.
- So far this season, Brown is 38-for-77 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- Offensively the Heat are the fifth-worst squad in the league (110.1 points per game). But defensively they are third-best (108.4 points conceded per game).
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Bam Adebayo Points Prop: Under 18.5
- Bam Adebayo provides 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game for the Heat.
- Adebayo’s 19.3 points per game are 0.8 points higher than Wednesday’s over/under.
- Adebayo has gone over 32 times on a points prop this season (in 73 opportunities).
- When it comes to points, the Celtics are thriving at both ends of the court, as they rank second-best in the league in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2 per contest).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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