Heat vs. Bulls: NBA Playoffs Game 1 Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 19, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 18, 2024

The Miami Heat and the Chicago Bulls square off to tip off the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Heat are 2-point favorites for the game, which will be broadcast on ESPN at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 207.5.

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Heat vs. Bulls Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -2 207.5

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Injury Report as of April 19

Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Terry Rozier: Out (Neck), Duncan Robinson: Probable (Back), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee)

Bulls: Patrick Williams: Out (Foot), Andre Drummond: Questionable (Ankle), Onuralp Bitim: Out (Eye), Zach LaVine: Out (Foot), Julian Phillips: Out (Foot), Lonzo Ball: Out (Knee), Alex Caruso: Questionable (Foot), Ayo Dosunmu: Questionable (Quadricep)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Heat (-2)
Total Pick Over (207.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat vs. Bulls Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Bulls Avg. (Rank)
110.1 (26th) Points Scored 112.3 (22nd)
108.4 (3rd) Points Allowed 113.7 (16th)
42.3 (25th) Rebounds 43.8 (14th)
9.3 (26th) Off. Rebounds 11.2 (8th)
12.5 (18th) 3pt Made 11.5 (26th)
25.8 (18th) Assists 25 (23rd)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 11.7 (3rd)

Best Betting Site for Heat vs. Bulls

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Tyler Herro 42 20.8 5.3 4.5 0.7 0.1 3.1
Bam Adebayo 71 19.3 10.4 3.9 1.1 0.9 0.2
Duncan Robinson 68 12.9 2.6 2.8 0.7 0.2 2.8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 75 11.9 3.8 2.6 1 0.3 0.9
Caleb Martin 64 10 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.5 1.3

Bulls Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
DeMar DeRozan 79 24 4.3 5.3 1.1 0.6 0.9
Coby White 79 19.1 4.5 5.1 0.7 0.2 2.6
Nikola Vucevic 76 18 10.5 3.3 0.7 0.8 1.2
Ayo Dosunmu 76 12.2 2.8 3.2 0.9 0.5 1.6
Javonte Green 9 12.2 7.4 0.6 1.1 0.9 1.1

Betting Trends

  • The Heat are 40-39-3 against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread as 2-point favorites or more, Miami is 20-20-2.
  • This season, 35 of the Heat’s 82 games have gone over the point total.
  • Miami and its opponent have broken the 207.5-point mark 59 times this year.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 207.5 points, and that’s 11 less than the average total in this season’s Heat contests.
  • The Bulls have covered the spread 41 times in 82 games.
  • Chicago has an ATS record of 23-21 as a 2-point underdog or greater.
  • Out of 82 Bulls games so far this season, 45 have hit the over.
  • So far this year, 71 Chicago’s games have featured more than 207.5 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Bulls games this year (207.5) is 18.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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