The Sacramento Kings will look to pull off an upset as slight 1-point underdogs in Game 1 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Friday, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET on TNT. The matchup’s point total is 210.5.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game can help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Pelicans (-1) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Pelicans favored by one, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (5.1 points). Put your money on the Pelicans.
- New Orleans has gone 44-36-2 ATS this season.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread 24 times this season (24-25-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
- Sacramento is 42-39-1 against the spread this year.
- When playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Kings have an ATS record of 17-11.
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Total: Over 210.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (228.4 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (210.5 points). Bet on the over.
- In 64 games this season, New Orleans and its opponent have combined for more than 210.5 points.
- So far this season, 68 Sacramento’s games have featured more than 210.5 points scored.
- A total of 36 out of the Pelicans’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
- The Kings and their opponents have combined to hit the over 36 out of 82 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-115)
- Prediction: Pelicans 117, Kings 112
- This season, New Orleans has been favored 50 times and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
- Sacramento has been an underdog in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those contests.
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CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop: Under 4.5
- CJ McCollum puts up 20.0 points, 4.6 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.
- He pulls down 4.3 rebounds per game, 0.2 fewer than his prop bet on Friday.
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in 33 of 66 games with a prop so far this season.
- In 2023-24, the Kings are 12th in the league in rebounds (44.0 per game) and ninth in rebounds conceded (42.5).
Check out all available player props for CJ McCollum and other Pelicans players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
De’Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- On a per-game basis, De’Aaron Fox gives the Kings 26.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He also averages 2.0 steals (first in league) and 0.4 blocked shots.
- His per-game rebound average — 4.6 — is 0.9 fewer than his prop bet over/under in Friday’s game (5.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than the total set for him by sportsbooks 38 times this season in his 76 games with a prop.
- The Pelicans are pulling down 44.0 rebounds per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for De’Aaron Fox and other Kings players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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