The Phoenix Suns will look to overcome the odds as slight 1-point underdogs in Game 1 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Saturday, tipping off at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup’s over/under is set at 214.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game may help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-1) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Timberwolves favored by one, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (7.0 points). Put your money on the Timberwolves.
- Minnesota has a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread 28 times this season (28-31-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
- Phoenix is 35-45-2 ATS this season.
- The Suns have been an underdog by 1 point or more 21 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those contests.
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Total: Over 214
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (10.5 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Minnesota’s games have had more than 214 points scored on 58 occasions this season.
- There have been 67 Phoenix’s games this year with more than 214 points scored.
- In the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.
- A total of 36 Suns games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-115)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 116, Suns 109
- Minnesota has entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 46, or 75.4%, of those games.
- Phoenix has been victorious in nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Anthony Edwards posts 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- He has averaged 0.1 fewer rebounds per game (5.4) than his prop bet total in Saturday’s game (5.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 38 of his 80 games with a prop this season.
- The Suns are 10th in the league in rebounds per game (44.1) and third-best in rebounds conceded (41.3).
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Kevin Durant Points Prop: Under 23.5
- Kevin Durant generates 27.1 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game for the Suns.
- The 27.1 points Durant scores per game are 3.6 more than his over/under on Saturday.
- Durant has had a points prop in 77 games this season, and has gone over 36 times.
- The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by allowing only 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113.0 per contest).
Check out the prop bets available for Kevin Durant and other Suns players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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