The Golden State Warriors are favored by 2.5 points heading into an NBA Playoffs Play-In game against the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The point total in the matchup is set at 223.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Kings (+2.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Kings in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Warriors favored and the difference between the two is 3.3 points.
- Sacramento is 42-39-1 against the spread this year.
- The Kings have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more 19 times this year, and covered the spread in 11 of those games.
- Golden State has a 42-38-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Warriors have been favored by 2.5 points or more 45 times this season, and covered the spread in 21 of those matchups.
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Total: Over 223
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (9.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- A total of 59 times so far this year, Golden State and its opponent have combined to score more than 223 points.
- Sacramento’s games have had over 223 points 52 times this season.
- A total of 41 out of the Warriors’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
- A total of 36 Kings games this year have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Kings (+120)
- Prediction: Kings 117, Warriors 116
- This season, Golden State has been favored 55 times and won 37, or 67.3%, of those games.
- Sacramento has been an underdog in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (42.9%) in those contests.
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Klay Thompson Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Klay Thompson averages 17.9 points, 2.3 assists and 3.3 rebounds per game.
- His rebounding average — 3.3 per game — is 0.2 less than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (3.5).
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in 28 of 82 games with a prop so far this season.
- With 44.0 rebounds per game and 42.5 rebounds conceded, the Kings are 12th and ninth in the league, respectively.
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De’Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- De’Aaron Fox is putting up 26.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest. He’s making 46.5% of his shots from the floor and 36.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.9 treys per game.
- He has grabbed 4.6 rebounds per game, 0.9 fewer than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (5.5).
- This will be his 77th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has hit the over 38 times.
- The Warriors rank best in the NBA by pulling down 46.7 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, they rank 12th in the league (42.9 allowed per contest).
Check out the prop bets available for De’Aaron Fox and other Kings players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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