The Los Angeles Lakers will look to overcome the odds as slight 1-point underdogs in an NBA Playoffs Play-In matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The point total is 224.5 for the matchup.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Tuesday’s game, find out the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Pelicans (-1) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Pelicans favored by one, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (6.2 points). Put your money on the Pelicans.
- New Orleans’ ATS record is 44-36-2 this season.
- The Pelicans are 24-25-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
- So far this season, Los Angeles has compiled a 38-44-0 record against the spread.
- The Lakers have an ATS record of 18-18 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this year.
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Total: Over 224.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (230.6 points) slightly higher than the DraftKings over/under (224.5 points).
- New Orleans’ games have had more than 224.5 points scored on 46 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 58 Los Angeles’ games have featured more than 224.5 points scored.
- A total of 36 out of the Pelicans’ 82 games this season have hit the over.
- So far this season, 47 out of the Lakers’ 82 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-118)
- Prediction: Pelicans 118, Lakers 112
- New Orleans has entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
- Los Angeles has come away with 15 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Zion Williamson Points Prop: Over 24.5
- Zion Williamson averages 22.9 points, 5.0 assists and 5.8 boards per contest.
- The 24.5 point total set for Williamson on Tuesday is 1.6 more than his scoring average on the season (22.9).
- So far this season, Williamson is 34-for-77 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- In 2023-24, the Lakers are sixth in the NBA on offense (118.0 points scored per game) and 23rd defensively (117.4 points allowed).
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Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop: Under 13.5
- On a per-game basis, Anthony Davis gets the Lakers 24.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 2.3 blocked shots (fourth in league).
- He averages 0.9 fewer rebounds than his over/under on Tuesday (which is 13.5).
- He has gone over on rebounds in 34 of 79 games with that prop available so far this season.
- The Pelicans are grabbing 44.0 rebounds per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked).
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All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.
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