The Miami Heat (45-36) play the Toronto Raptors (25-56) on April 14, 2024 at FTX Arena. The Raptors are underdogs by a 15-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 220.
Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game can help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Raptors (+15) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (12.4 points) is a little tighter than the 15-point edge DraftKings gives to the Heat, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Toronto’s ATS record is 34-46-1 this season.
- The Raptors have been an underdog by 15 points or more three times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
- Miami is 40-38-3 against the spread this season.
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Total: Over 220
- The model projects a total 4.9 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- A total of 37 times so far this season, Miami and its opponent have combined to score more than 220 points.
- There have been 54 Toronto’s games this year with more than 220 points scored.
- Heat games have hit the over 34 out of 81 times this season.
- A total of 41 Raptors games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-1450)
- Prediction: Heat 119, Raptors 106
- This season, Miami has been favored 46 times and won 34, or 73.9%, of those games.
- Toronto has been victorious in 11, or 19.3%, of the 57 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jimmy Butler Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Jimmy Butler posts 20.9 points, 5.3 boards and 5.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- His rebounding average — 5.3 per game — is 0.2 less than his prop bet in Sunday’s game (5.5).
- This will be his 70th game this season with a rebound prop and so far he has hit the over 23 times.
- The Raptors are 22nd in the league in rebounds per game (42.7) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.2).
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Kelly Olynyk Points Prop: Under 11.5
- Kelly Olynyk is averaging 9.8 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. He’s sinking 55.5% of his shots from the field.
- Sunday’s points prop bet for Olynyk is 11.5 points. That is 1.7 more than his season average of 9.8.
- He is 26-for-57 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
- Because of the Heat’s offensive struggles this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 110.0 points per game, they’ve been forced to lean on their defense, which ranks third-best in the league by giving up 108.5 points per game.
Check out the prop bets available for Kelly Olynyk and other Raptors players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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