The Oklahoma City Thunder (56-25) are big favorites, by 19 points, versus the Dallas Mavericks (50-31) on April 14, 2024 at Paycom Center. The Mavericks are red-hot, going 8-2 in their past 10 games, yet are still the underdogs. The matchup’s point total is 224.5.
Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Sunday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Mavericks (+19) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (6.8 points) is significantly less than the 19-point edge DraftKings gives to the Thunder, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Mavericks to cover.
- Dallas has a 48-33-0 record against the spread this season.
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 45-35-1 record against the spread.
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Total: Over 224.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (233.3 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (224.5 points). Bet on the over.
- A total of 53 times so far this year, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined to score more than 224.5 points.
- So far this season, 52 Dallas’ games have featured over 224.5 points scored.
- In the Thunder’s 81 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 43 times.
- A total of 36 Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-1800)
- Prediction: Thunder 120, Mavericks 113
- This season, Oklahoma City has been favored 60 times and won 46, or 76.7%, of those games.
- Dallas has been an underdog in 30 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (40%) in those contests.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 30.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 2.0 steals (first in NBA) and 0.9 blocks.
- He has averaged 0.1 more rebounds per game (5.6) than his prop bet total in Sunday’s game (5.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 37 of his 78 games with a prop this season.
- On the glass, the Mavericks are 19th in the NBA in rebounds (43.0 per game). They are 25th in rebounds conceded (44.9 per game).
Explore all available player props for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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