The Orlando Magic (46-35) face the Milwaukee Bucks (49-32) on April 14, 2024 at Amway Center. The Magic are favorites, by five points, in a contest pitting one of the
strongest defensive teams in the league against one of the highest-scoring teams. The Magic are fourth in points allowed per game (108.7), while the Bucks are fourth in points scored (119.4). The matchup has an over/under set at 214.5 points.
Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Bucks (+5) to Cover
- The Magic are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (5 to 1.5 points). Take the Bucks and the points.
- Milwaukee is 35-45-1 ATS this season.
- The Bucks have been an underdog by 5 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in two of those contests.
- Orlando is 50-31-0 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 5-point favorites this season, the Magic have an ATS record of 19-6.
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Total: Over 214.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (227.4 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (214.5 points). Bet on the over.
- Orlando’s games have had more than 214.5 points scored on 46 occasions this season.
- There have been 69 Milwaukee’s games this season with more than 214.5 points scored.
- In the Magic’s 81 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
- So far this year, 41 out of the Bucks’ 81 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (-205)
- Prediction: Magic 114, Bucks 113
- Orlando has been the favorite in 37 games this season and won 29 (78.4%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee has been victorious in four, or 28.6%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Paolo Banchero Points Prop: Over 22.5
- Paolo Banchero posts 22.5 points, 5.4 assists and 6.9 rebounds per contest.
- Sunday’s over/under for Banchero has been set at 22.5 points. That is the same as his season scoring average.
- So far this season, Banchero is 42-for-82 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- Offensively, the Bucks are the fourth-best team in the league (119.4 points per game). On defense, they are 21st (116.4 points conceded per game).
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