Nuggets vs. Spurs: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – April 12, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 12, 2024

The Denver Nuggets (56-24) visit the San Antonio Spurs (20-60) on April 12, 2024 at AT&T Center. The Nuggets are strongly favored, by 10.5 points, in a contest featuring a pair of the NBA’s best players, the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Spurs’ Victor Wembanyama. The over/under is 222.5 points for this matchup.

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -10.5 222.5

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Injury Report as of April 12

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Hip), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Probable (Right Shoulder), Zeke Nnaji: Probable (Adductor), Aaron Gordon: Probable (Foot), Jamal Murray: Probable (Knee), Michael Porter: Probable (Quadricep)

Spurs: Dominick Barlow: Out (Knee), Charles Bassey: Out (Left Knee), Marcus Morris: Out (Not With Team), Devin Vassell: Out (Foot), Jeremy Sochan: Out (Ankle), Cedi Osman: Out (Ankle), Keldon Johnson: Out (Foot)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-10.5)
Total Pick Over (222.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Spurs Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Spurs Avg. (Rank)
114.7 (14th) Points Scored 111.9 (23rd)
109.4 (6th) Points Allowed 118.9 (25th)
44.5 (7th) Rebounds 44.1 (10th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 10.3 (18th)
11.7 (25th) 3pt Made 12.6 (17th)
29.4 (3rd) Assists 29.8 (2nd)
11.8 (4th) Turnovers 14.6 (28th)

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 77 26.6 12.4 9 1.3 0.9 1.1
Jamal Murray 57 20.9 4.1 6.6 1 0.7 2.4
Michael Porter Jr. 79 16.8 7.1 1.5 0.5 0.6 2.7
Aaron Gordon 71 13.9 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 80 10.2 1.9 3.8 0.5 0.2 1.3

Spurs Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Victor Wembanyama 70 21.3 10.6 3.8 1.2 3.6 1.8
Zach Collins 67 11.1 5.3 2.8 0.5 0.8 0.8
Tre Jones 75 9.9 3.7 6.2 1 0.1 0.8
Malaki Branham 75 9.2 2 2.1 0.4 0.1 1.2
Julian Champagnie 72 6.7 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.6 1.3

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have 37 wins in 80 games against the spread this season.
  • Denver’s ATS record as 10.5-point favorites or more is 9-8.
  • Out of 80 Nuggets games so far this year, 33 have gone over the total.
  • In 43 games this year, Denver and its opponent have combined to score more than 222.5 points.
  • The total for this game is 222.5, and that’s 1.6 points fewer than the average total in Nuggets games thus far this season.
  • The Spurs are 42-38-0 against the spread this season.
  • San Antonio has an ATS record of 18-9 as a 10.5-point underdog or more.
  • The Spurs have played 80 games this year, and 38 of them have gone over the total.
  • San Antonio’s games have gone over 222.5 points on 53 occasions this year.
  • The average total points scored in Spurs games this year (222.5) is 8.2 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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