In a contest between one of the hottest teams in the NBA against one that is struggling, the Dallas Mavericks (50-30), winners of five in a row, and 9-1 in their past 10 games, battle the Detroit Pistons (13-67), who’ve dropped six straight and are 1-9 in their past 10. The Mavericks are favorites by 13.5 points for this contest at American Airlines Center on April 12, 2024. The matchup has an over/under set at 218 points.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Friday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Mavericks (-13.5) to Cover
- The Mavericks are the bet in this game. They’re favored by 5.4 more points in the model than DraftKings (18.9 to 13.5).
- Dallas has a 48-32-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread when playing as at least 13.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
- Detroit is 39-40-1 against the spread this year.
- The Pistons have covered the spread eight times this season (8-8 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 218
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (13.8 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Dallas and its opponent have broken the 218-point mark 65 times this season.
- Detroit’s games have had over 218 points 57 times this year.
- So far this season, 36 out of the Mavericks’ 80 games have gone over the point total.
- Pistons games have gone over the point total 40 out of 80 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-950)
- Prediction: Mavericks 125, Pistons 106
- This season, Dallas has won 37 out of the 48 games, or 77.1%, in which it has been favored.
- Detroit has been an underdog in 71 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (14.1%) in those contests.
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Marcus Sasser Rebounds Prop: Over 2.5
- Marcus Sasser is averaging 7.9 points, 1.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists per contest. He is sinking 42.6% of his shots from the field and 37.9% from 3-point range, with 1.2 triples per game.
- He pulls down 1.7 rebounds per game, 0.8 fewer than his prop bet on Friday.
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in four of nine games with a prop so far this season.
- The Mavericks are pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game (19th-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 45.0 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Marcus Sasser and other Pistons players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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