The Miami Heat (44-36) play the Toronto Raptors (25-55) on April 12, 2024 at FTX Arena. The Raptors are underdogs by a 14.5-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 218.5.
Dig into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Friday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Raptors (+14.5) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (11.8 points) is a little tighter than the 14.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Heat, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Toronto has gone 34-45-1 ATS this season.
- The Raptors have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 14.5 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
- Miami has gone 39-38-3 ATS this season.
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Total: Over 218.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (224.9 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (218.5 points).
- Miami’s games have finished with more than 218.5 points 37 times so far this season.
- So far this year, 53 Toronto’s games have featured over 218.5 points scored.
- In the Heat’s 80 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 33 times.
- A total of 40 Raptors games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-1100)
- Prediction: Heat 118, Raptors 107
- This season, Miami has won 33 out of the 45 games, or 73.3%, in which it has been favored.
- Toronto has been victorious in 11, or 19.6%, of the 56 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jimmy Butler Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Jimmy Butler posts 21.0 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 49.5% from the floor and 40.6% from downtown with 1.0 made 3-pointers per contest.
- He averages 0.2 fewer rebounds than his prop bet Friday of 5.5.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 23 of his 68 games with a prop set this season.
- The Raptors are 22nd in the league in rebounds per game (42.7) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.3).
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Kelly Olynyk Points Prop: Under 12.5
- Kelly Olynyk is putting up 9.8 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. He’s making 55.7% of his shots from the field.
- Olynyk has scored 9.8 points per game during the 2023-24 season, 2.7 points less than Friday’s points prop total.
- He has gone up against a points prop bet in 56 games this season, and he’s gone over 26 times.
- The Heat have had to count on their defense, which ranks third-best in the NBA (108.5 points allowed per game), as they rank fourth-worst in the league on offense with only 109.9 points per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Kelly Olynyk and other Raptors players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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