The Denver Nuggets (56-24) are 10.5-point favorites for their matchup with the San Antonio Spurs (20-60) on April 12, 2024, when a pair of the best players in the NBA — the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Spurs’ Victor Wembanyama — will be on display at AT&T Center. The point total is set at 222.5 for the matchup.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) to Cover
- The line for this game set by DraftKings and the model’s prediction are essentially the same (within 0.3 points of each other).
- So far this season, Denver has put together a 37-41-2 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 9-8.
- San Antonio is 42-38-0 against the spread this season.
- The Spurs are 18-9 ATS this year when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 222.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 4.9 points lower than the model projection.
- A total of 43 times so far this year, Denver and its opponent have combined to score more than 222.5 points.
- There have been 53 San Antonio’s games this year with more than 222.5 points scored.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to hit the over 33 out of 80 times this season.
- Spurs games have gone over the point total 38 out of 80 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-535)
- Prediction: Nuggets 119, Spurs 108
- Denver has been the favorite in 70 games this season and won 52 (74.3%) of those contests.
- San Antonio has been chosen as underdogs in 72 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (19.4%) in those games.
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Jamal Murray Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Jamal Murray averages 20.9 points, 6.6 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game.
- He averages 0.6 more rebounds than his over/under on Friday (which is 3.5).
- This will be his 66th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over on 25 occasions.
- The Spurs are 10th in the NBA in rebounds per game (44.1) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (45.6).
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Victor Wembanyama Points Prop: Under 23.5
- On a per-game basis, Wembanyama gets the Spurs 21.3 points, 10.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 3.6 blocked shots (first in NBA).
- Wembanyama’s 21.3 points per game are 2.2 fewer than Friday’s over/under.
- Wembanyama has gone over 34 times on a points prop this season (in 75 opportunities).
- Offensively, the Nuggets are scoring 114.7 points per game (14th-ranked in league). They are surrendering 109.4 points per contest on defense (sixth-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Victor Wembanyama and other Spurs players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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