The Phoenix Suns (47-33) face the Sacramento Kings (45-35) on April 12, 2024 at Golden 1 Center. The Suns are favorites, by 4.5 points, in a contest featuring two of the top players in the NBA, the Suns’ Kevin Durant and the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis. The matchup has an over/under of 224 points.
If you are looking to gain an edge on Friday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Kings (+4.5) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Suns winning by 4.5, the model has the Kings taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (6.3 points). Take the Kings.
- Sacramento has a 40-39-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Kings have been an underdog by 4.5 points or more eight times this year, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
- So far this season, Phoenix has put together a 34-44-2 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Suns have an ATS record of 16-22-1.
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Total: Over 224
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 6.8 points lower than the model projection.
- Phoenix and its opponent have broken the 224-point mark 54 times this season.
- There have been 51 Sacramento’s games this year with more than 224 points scored.
- The Suns and their opponents have combined to hit the over 35 out of 80 times this season.
- Kings games have gone over the point total 36 out of 80 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Kings (+160)
- Prediction: Kings 116, Suns 115
- Phoenix has entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 38, or 64.4%, of those games.
- Sacramento has won in 12, or 44.4%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds Prop: Under 11.5
- Jusuf Nurkic puts up 11.0 points, 11.1 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.0 block.
- He has collected 11.1 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Friday’s game (11.5).
- This will be his 77th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has hit the over on 36 occasions.
- The Kings are 13th in the league in rebounds per game (44.0) and ninth in rebounds allowed (42.4).
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Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- The Kings are getting 15.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Keegan Murray this year.
- He pulls down 5.4 rebounds per game, 0.1 fewer than his prop bet on Friday.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 32 of his 74 games with a prop set this season.
- The Suns are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game this year (eighth-ranked in NBA), and they’ve ceded only 41.5 rebounds per game (third-best).
Check out the prop bets available for Keegan Murray and other Kings players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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