The Boston Celtics (62-17) face the New York Knicks (47-32) on April 11, 2024 at TD Garden. The Celtics are favored, by three points, in a matchup featuring two of the top defensive squads in the league — the Celtics are fifth (109.1 points allowed per game), and the Knicks are second (108.1). The matchup has an over/under set at 218 points.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Thursday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, in this article (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Celtics (-3) to Cover
- The Celtics are the bet in this contest. They’re favored by 7.6 more points in the model than DraftKings (10.6 to 3).
- Boston is 41-35-3 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Celtics have an ATS record of 38-32-3.
- New York has a 42-34-3 record against the spread this year.
- The Knicks have been an underdog by 3 points or more 23 times this season, and covered the spread in eight of those games.
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Total: Over 218
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (225.1 points) considerably higher than the DraftKings over/under (218 points). Bet on the over.
- In 59 games this year, Boston and its opponent have combined for more than 218 points.
- New York’s games have finished with over 218 points scored 45 times this year.
- Celtics games have gone over the point total 40 out of 79 times this season.
- The Knicks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 34 out of 79 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-148)
- Prediction: Celtics 118, Knicks 107
- Boston has entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 61, or 80.3%, of those games.
- New York has been an underdog in 34 games this season and has come away with the win 13 times (38.2%) in those contests.
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Jaylen Brown Points Prop: Under 19.5
- Jaylen Brown averages 23.1 points, 5.6 boards and 3.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- Brown’s 23.1 points per game are 3.6 more than Thursday’s prop total.
- Brown has had 76 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 38 times.
- Offensively, the Knicks are the 19th-ranked team in the league (112.7 points per game). On defense, they are second-best (108.1 points allowed per game).
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Josh Hart Points Prop: Under 10.5
- The Knicks are getting 9.2 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game from Josh Hart this year.
- Thursday’s over/under for Hart is 10.5 points. That is 1.3 more than his season average of 9.2.
- In 68 games this season with a points prop total, Hart has hit the over 25 times.
- Everything is clicking for the Celtics, who are scoring 120.4 points per game (second-best in NBA) and surrendering 109.1 points per contest (fifth-best).
Check out the prop bets available for Josh Hart and other Knicks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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