The Houston Rockets (39-40) are strongly favored, by 11 points, versus the Utah Jazz (29-50) on April 11, 2024 at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Jazz are struggling right now, having lost 13 in a row and going 0-10 in their past 10 games. The over/under is 227 in the matchup.
Keep reading to find the best bets you can make on Thursday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Jazz (+11) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.1 points) is considerably less than the 11-point edge DraftKings gives to the Rockets, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Jazz to cover.
- Utah’s ATS record is 39-40-0 this season.
- The Jazz are 3-8 ATS this season when playing as at least 11-point underdogs.
- Houston is 43-34-2 against the spread this season.
- The Rockets have been favored by 11 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
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Total: Over 227
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (231.9 points) a little higher than the DraftKings over/under (227 points).
- Houston’s games have finished with more than 227 points 37 times so far this season.
- There have been 55 Utah’s games this year with more than 227 points scored.
- A total of 40 out of the Rockets’ 79 games this season have gone over the point total.
- Jazz games have gone over the point total 43 out of 79 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (-500)
- Prediction: Rockets 118, Jazz 114
- Houston has won 23, or 82.1%, of the 28 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Utah has come away with 16 wins in the 60 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop: Over 14.5
- Jabari Smith Jr. puts up 13.9 points, 1.5 assists and 8.2 boards per contest.
- The 14.5-point prop total for Smith Jr. on Thursday is 0.6 higher than his scoring average, which is 13.9.
- This season, he is 35-for-76 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- Offensively the Jazz are the 12th-ranked team in the league (115.6 points per game). Defensively they are second-worst (120.7 points allowed per game).
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