The Golden State Warriors (44-35) are big favorites, by 13 points, over the Portland Trail Blazers (21-58) on April 11, 2024 at Moda Center. It’s a contest featuring one of the sharpest shooting squads in the NBA versus one of the best defending against the 3-pointer. The Warriors are second in the league in treys made per game (14.8) while the Trail Blazers are fifth in 3’s allowed (11.7). The point total is 221.5 for the matchup.
If you are trying to make an informed wager on Thursday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+13) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (11.4 points) is a little tighter than the 13-point edge DraftKings gives to the Warriors, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- So far this season, Portland has put together a 38-40-1 record against the spread.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread 11 times this season (11-7 ATS) when playing as at least 13-point underdogs.
- So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 42-35-2 record against the spread.
- The Warriors have not covered the spread when favored by 13 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
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Total: Over 221.5
- The model predicts a total 6.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Golden State and its opponent have broken the 221.5-point mark 60 times this season.
- Portland’s games have finished with over 221.5 points scored 43 times this year.
- A total of 40 out of the Warriors’ 79 games this season have hit the over.
- In the Trail Blazers’ 79 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 39 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Warriors (-900)
- Prediction: Warriors 120, Trail Blazers 108
- This season, Golden State has won 35 out of the 52 games, or 67.3%, in which it has been favored.
- Portland has been victorious in 20, or 27.4%, of the 73 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jabari Walker Rebounds Prop: Under 10.5
- The Trail Blazers are receiving 8.7 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game from Jabari Walker this year.
- He grabs 7.0 rebounds per game, 3.5 less than his prop bet on Thursday.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 18 of his 31 games with a prop set this season.
- The Warriors rank best in the NBA by pulling down 46.7 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, they rank 11th in the league (42.8 allowed per contest).
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