In a matchup between one of the hottest teams in the league and one that is struggling, the Dallas Mavericks (48-30), winners of three in a row, and 9-1 in their past 10 games, battle the Charlotte Hornets (19-59), are 2-8 in their past 10. The Mavericks are favorites by 13 points for this contest at Spectrum Center on April 9, 2024. The point total for the matchup is set at 223.5.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can place on Tuesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Hornets (+13) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.5 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Charlotte has a 31-46-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Hornets have an ATS record of 6-6 when playing as at least 13-point underdogs this season.
- Dallas has gone 46-32-0 ATS this season.
- The Mavericks have won their only game this season when playing as at least 13-point favorites.
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Total: Over 223.5
- The model projects a total 5.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Dallas and its opponent have broken the 223.5-point mark 51 times this year.
- Charlotte’s games have finished with over 223.5 points scored 36 times this season.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 35 out of 78 times this season.
- The Hornets and their opponents have combined to hit the over 38 out of 78 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-850)
- Prediction: Mavericks 121, Hornets 108
- This season, Dallas has won 35 out of the 46 games, or 76.1%, in which it has been favored.
- Charlotte has come away with 16 wins in the 72 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Kyrie Irving puts up 25.8 points, 5.0 boards and 5.1 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocks.
- He has grabbed 5.0 rebounds per game, 0.5 higher than his prop bet on Tuesday.
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in 28 of 62 games with a prop so far this season.
- In 2023-24, the Hornets are worst in the league in rebounds (40.4 per game) and fourth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.3).
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Brandon Miller Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Brandon Miller is putting up 17.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. He’s making 43.9% of his shots from the floor and 37.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 triples per game.
- He has pulled down 4.3 rebounds per game, 1.2 fewer than his prop bet in Tuesday’s game (5.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 30 of his 73 games with a prop this season.
- So far this season, the Mavericks are averaging 42.8 rebounds per game (19th-ranked in NBA) and ceding 45.0 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
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