In a matchup featuring one of the hottest squads in the NBA, the Dallas Mavericks (47-30, 9-1 in their last 10) play the Houston Rockets (38-39) at American Airlines Center on April 7, 2024. The Mavericks are favorites by eight points. The matchup’s over/under is set at 227.
If you are trying to gain an edge on Sunday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Rockets (+8) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Mavericks taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (5.8 points). Lean towards taking the Rockets.
- So far this season, Houston has compiled a 42-33-2 record against the spread.
- The Rockets have an ATS record of 5-3-1 when playing as at least 8-point underdogs this year.
- Dallas has gone 45-32-0 ATS this season.
- The Mavericks have an ATS record of 10-4 when playing as at least 8-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 227
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 3.3 points lower than the model projection.
- A total of 48 times so far this season, Dallas and its opponent have combined for more than 227 points.
- There have been 36 Houston’s games this season with more than 227 points scored.
- So far this season, 34 out of the Mavericks’ 77 games have gone over the point total.
- A total of 38 Rockets games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-325)
- Prediction: Mavericks 118, Rockets 112
- This season, Dallas has won 34 out of the 45 games, or 75.6%, in which it has been favored.
- Houston has been chosen as underdogs in 49 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (30.6%) in those games.
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Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop: Over 10.5
- Luka Doncic posts 33.8 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds per contest.
- He has averaged 1.3 less rebounds per game (9.2) than his prop bet total in Sunday’s game (10.5).
- This will be his 73rd game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over 35 times.
- The Rockets are the third-best team in the league in rebounds per game (45.6) and are ranked 23rd in rebounds allowed (44.7).
Explore all available player props for Luka Doncic and other Mavericks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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