The Philadelphia 76ers (43-35) face the San Antonio Spurs (19-58) as 4.5-point favorites on Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET on NBCS. The over/under in the matchup is 225.5.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.
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Spread: 76ers (-4.5) to Cover
- The model projects the 76ers to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (5.1 to 4.5).
- Philadelphia has gone 44-34-0 ATS this season.
- The 76ers are 20-12 ATS this season when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
- San Antonio has a 41-36-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Spurs have covered the spread 30 times this year (30-29 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 225.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 3.1 points lower than the model projection.
- Philadelphia’s games have had more than 225.5 points scored on 38 occasions this season.
- San Antonio’s games have had over 225.5 points 48 times this year.
- A total of 40 out of the 76ers’ 78 games this season have hit the over.
- In the Spurs’ 77 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 37 times.
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Moneyline Winner: 76ers (-180)
- Prediction: 76ers 117, Spurs 112
- Philadelphia has won 34, or 75.6%, of the 45 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- San Antonio has been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and has walked away with the win 14 times (20%) in those games.
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Keldon Johnson Points Prop: Under 15.5
- Keldon Johnson is averaging 15.8 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He’s sinking 45.6% of his shots from the field and 34.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per game.
- Johnson has averaged 15.8 points per game during the 2023-24 season, 0.3 points more than Sunday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Johnson is 29-for-64 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- The 76ers are scoring 114.3 points per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this year, while ceding 111.8 points per contest (ninth-ranked).
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