The Oklahoma City Thunder (52-25) are big favorites, by 7.5 points, over the Charlotte Hornets (19-58) on April 7, 2024 at Spectrum Center. The Hornets are sputtering right now, going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 218 points.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Thunder (-7.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Thunder favored by 7.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (15.9 points). Put your money on the Thunder.
- Oklahoma City is 42-34-1 ATS this season.
- The Thunder have been favored by 7.5 points or more 23 times this season, and covered the spread in 13 of those contests.
- Charlotte has a 30-46-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Hornets have an ATS record of 19-28 when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs this year.
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Total: Over 218
- The model predicts a total (228.1 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (218 points). Take the over.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had more than 218 points scored on 56 occasions this season.
- Charlotte’s games have had over 218 points 44 times this season.
- In the Thunder’s 77 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 41 times.
- Hornets games have hit the over 37 out of 77 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-298)
- Prediction: Thunder 122, Hornets 106
- Oklahoma City has entered the game as favorites 56 times this season and won 42, or 75%, of those games.
- Charlotte has come away with 16 wins in the 71 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop: Over 9.5
- Chet Holmgren averages 16.6 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.4 blocks (second in NBA).
- His per-game rebound average — 7.9 — is 1.6 fewer than his prop bet over/under in Sunday’s game (9.5).
- Oddsmakers have listed a rebound total for him 77 times this season, and he has hit the over in 33 of those games.
- In 2023-24, the Hornets are worst in the NBA in rebounds (40.5 per game) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (45.4).
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