The Milwaukee Bucks (47-30) are favored by 4.5 points, over the New York Knicks (45-32) on April 7, 2024 at Fiserv Forum. It’s a contest featuring one of the highest-scoring squads in the NBA against one of the toughest defensively. The Bucks are third in points scored per game (119.9), and the Knicks are second in points allowed (107.9). The matchup has an over/under of 219.5 points.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, take a look at the best bets available in Sunday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Knicks (+4.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Bucks by 1.3 points, a much smaller margin than the 4.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Knicks to cover.
- New York has a 40-34-3 record against the spread this year.
- When playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this season, the Knicks have an ATS record of 4-8-1.
- Milwaukee is 33-43-1 against the spread this season.
- The Bucks have an ATS record of 19-28-1 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 219.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (228.5 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (219.5 points). Bet on the over.
- Milwaukee’s games have had more than 219.5 points scored on 60 occasions this season.
- New York’s games have finished with over 219.5 points scored 38 times this year.
- So far this season, 38 out of the Bucks’ 77 games have hit the over.
- So far this year, 32 out of the Knicks’ 77 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-185)
- Prediction: Bucks 115, Knicks 114
- Milwaukee has entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 44, or 67.7%, of those games.
- New York has come away with 12 wins in the 33 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop: Under 28.5
- Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 30.7 points, 6.5 assists and 11.5 boards per game.
- Antetokounmpo’s 30.7 points per game average is 2.2 points higher than Sunday’s over/under.
- Antetokounmpo has gone up against a points prop bet in 78 games this season, and he’s hit the over 34 times.
- The Knicks are 21st in the league in points scored (112.3 per game) and second-best in points allowed (107.9).
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Jalen Brunson Points Prop: Over 30.5
- On a per-game basis, Jalen Brunson gives the Knicks 28.0 points, 3.6 rebounds and 6.7 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- The 30.5-point prop total for Brunson on Sunday is 2.5 higher than his scoring average, which is 28.0.
- Brunson has had a points prop in 78 games this season, and has gone over 36 times.
- The Bucks are giving up 116.8 points per game this year (22nd-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well on offense, scoring 119.9 points per game (third-best).
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