The high-octane offense of the Indiana Pacers (44-34) squares off against the solid defense of the Miami Heat (43-34) on April 7, 2024 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, where the Pacers are 1.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 227 points for the matchup.
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Pacers vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Pacers | -1.5 | 227 |
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Injury Report as of April 7
Pacers: Bennedict Mathurin: Out (Shoulder), Jalen Smith: Questionable (Ankle), Tyrese Haliburton: Questionable (Back)
Heat: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Pacers (-1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (227) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Pacers vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Pacers Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 122.8 (1st) | Points Scored | 109.9 (27th) |
| 120.2 (27th) | Points Allowed | 108.4 (3rd) |
| 41.5 (28th) | Rebounds | 42.3 (25th) |
| 10.1 (20th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.4 (26th) |
| 13.2 (9th) | 3pt Made | 12.4 (18th) |
| 30.6 (1st) | Assists | 25.7 (20th) |
| 12.3 (11th) | Turnovers | 11.8 (4th) |
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Pacers Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 39 | 22.2 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Pascal Siakam | 37 | 21.4 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 65 | 20.2 | 3.9 | 11 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| Myles Turner | 73 | 16.8 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 68 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 55 | 21 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Tyler Herro | 37 | 20.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.2 |
| Terry Rozier | 60 | 20 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 1 | 0.4 | 2.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 66 | 19.6 | 10.6 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 67 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
Betting Trends
- The Pacers are 42-33-3 against the spread this year.
- Indiana has an ATS record of 18-19-1 as 1.5-point favorites or more.
- There have been 38 Pacers games (out of 78) that hit the over this year.
- A total of 57 times so far this year, Indiana and its opponent have combined to score more than 227 points.
- The average total for Pacers games this season has been 243, 16 points higher than the total for this game.
- The Heat’s record against the spread is 37-37-3.
- As a 1.5-point underdog or more, Miami is 16-16 against the spread.
- The Heat have played 77 games this season, and 31 of them have hit the over.
- Miami’s games have had over 227 points 20 times this year.
- Heat games average 218.3 total points, 8.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.
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