The Denver Nuggets (53-24) host the Atlanta Hawks (36-41) at Ball Arena, tipping off at 9:00 PM ET on Saturday, April 6, 2024. The Nuggets are 11.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 221.5.
Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Saturday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Hawks (+11.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.1 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Atlanta has a 28-49-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Hawks have covered the spread twice this year (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.
- Denver has a 34-41-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets have been favored by 11.5 points or more 10 times this season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
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Total: Over 221.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (231.4 points) substantially higher than the DraftKings over/under (221.5 points). Bet on the over.
- Denver and its opponent have broken the 221.5-point mark 42 times this season.
- So far this year, 59 Atlanta’s games have featured more than 221.5 points scored.
- Nuggets games have gone over the point total 31 out of 77 times this season.
- So far this season, 41 out of the Hawks’ 77 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-650)
- Prediction: Nuggets 121, Hawks 110
- This season, Denver has won 49 out of the 67 games, or 73.1%, in which it has been favored.
- Atlanta has been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (33.3%) in those games.
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Nikola Jokic Points Prop: Over 28.5
- Nikola Jokic puts up 26.5 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks.
- Jokic’s 26.5 points per game average is 2.0 fewer than Saturday’s over/under.
- Jokic has hit the over 38 times on a points prop this season (in 77 tries).
- In 2023-24, the Hawks are fifth-best in the NBA on offense (118.8 points scored per game) but fourth-worst defensively (120.0 points conceded).
Check out all available player props for Nikola Jokic and other Nuggets players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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