The New Orleans Pelicans (45-31) host the San Antonio Spurs (18-58) at Smoothie King Center, starting at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, April 5, 2024. The Pelicans are 11.5-point favorites in the game, the fourth matchup between the squads this season. The point total is set at 219 in the matchup.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Pelicans (-11.5) to Cover
- Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Pelicans winning by a considerably more robust margin (15.2 points). Take the Pelicans.
- New Orleans has a 41-33-2 record against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 3-2.
- So far this year, San Antonio has put together a 40-36-0 record against the spread.
- The Spurs are 8-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 219
- The model predicts a total (228.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (219 points). Take the over.
- New Orleans’ games have finished with more than 219 points 53 times so far this season.
- There have been 57 San Antonio’s games this year with more than 219 points scored.
- A total of 33 out of the Pelicans’ 76 games this season have hit the over.
- The Spurs and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 36 out of 76 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-750)
- Prediction: Pelicans 122, Spurs 107
- New Orleans has won 30, or 63.8%, of the 47 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- San Antonio has won in 13, or 18.8%, of the 69 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Victor Wembanyama Points Prop: Under 26.5
- On a per-game basis, Victor Wembanyama gives the Spurs 21.2 points, 10.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 3.5 blocked shots (first in NBA).
- The 26.5-point prop total for Wembanyama on Friday is 5.3 higher than his scoring average, which is 21.2.
- Wembanyama has exceeded his points prop on 33 occasions this season (in 72 games with such a prop).
- Offensively, the Pelicans are averaging 115.1 points per game (13th-ranked in league). They are surrendering 110.6 points per contest on defense (eighth-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Victor Wembanyama and other Spurs players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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