In a matchup featuring a pair of the top marksmen in the NBA, Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (46-30) will battle Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (42-34) on April 5, 2024 at American Airlines Center. Dončić drains 4.0 treys per contest (second in league), and Curry makes 4.8 (first). The Mavericks are 1.5-point favorites for the contest. The matchup’s over/under is set at 222.5.
If you are looking to gain an edge on Friday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) to Cover
- The model projects the Mavericks to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (2.4 to 1.5).
- Dallas’ ATS record is 44-32-0 this season.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread 26 times this season (26-16 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
- Golden State has a 41-33-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Warriors have an ATS record of 15-8-1 when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs this year.
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Total: Over 222.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (11.4 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- In 54 games this season, Dallas and its opponent have combined to score more than 222.5 points.
- There have been 55 Golden State’s games this season with more than 222.5 points scored.
- Mavericks games have hit the over 34 out of 76 times this season.
- The Warriors and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 38 out of 76 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-120)
- Prediction: Mavericks 118, Warriors 116
- Dallas has been the favorite in 45 games this season and won 34 (75.6%) of those contests.
- Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (30.8%) in those games.
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P.J. Washington Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- P.J. Washington posts 12.8 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.4% from the field and 31.9% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
- He has grabbed 5.5 boards per game, matching his over/under for Friday.
- This will be his 62nd game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over on 35 occasions.
- In 2023-24, the Warriors are best in the NBA in rebounds (46.8 per game) and 13th in rebounds allowed (43.1).
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