The Boston Celtics (60-16) battle the Sacramento Kings (44-32) on April 5, 2024 at TD Garden. The Celtics are big favorites, by nine points, in a contest featuring two of the best players in the NBA, the Celtics’ Jayson Tatum and the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis. The matchup’s over/under is 226.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Celtics (-9) to Cover
- Our computers expect the same result as DraftKings, but have the Celtics winning by a considerably more robust margin (14.0 points). Take the Celtics.
- So far this season, Boston has compiled a 40-33-3 record against the spread.
- The Celtics have been favored by 9 points or more 33 times this season, and covered the spread in 18 of those contests.
- Sacramento is 38-37-1 against the spread this season.
- The Kings have been an underdog by 9 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
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Total: Over 226
- The model predicts a total 5.6 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- In 43 games this year, Boston and its opponent have combined for more than 226 points.
- Sacramento’s games have had over 226 points 49 times this season.
- A total of 39 out of the Celtics’ 76 games this season have hit the over.
- Kings games have hit the over 35 out of 76 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-395)
- Prediction: Celtics 123, Kings 109
- Boston has won 59, or 79.7%, of the 74 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Sacramento has been an underdog in 25 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (48%) in those contests.
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Jayson Tatum Rebounds Prop: Under 7.5
- Tatum puts up 27.2 points, 8.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocks.
- He has averaged 8.3 rebounds per game, 0.8 more than his prop bet for Friday’s game (7.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 29 of his 74 games with a prop this season.
- In 2023-24, the Kings are 12th in the league in rebounds (43.8 per game) and seventh in rebounds conceded (42.3).
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Domantas Sabonis Points Prop: Under 17.5
- On a per-game basis, Sabonis gets the Kings 19.6 points, 13.7 rebounds and 8.3 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
- Friday’s prop bet for Sabonis is 17.5 points, 2.1 fewer than his season average.
- This season Sabonis is 37-for-77 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Celtics have been shining on both offense and defense this year, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (121.0) and fifth-best in points allowed per game (109.3).
Check out the prop bets available for Domantas Sabonis and other Kings players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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