The Miami Heat (42-34) visit the Houston Rockets (38-38) at Toyota Center, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, April 5, 2024. The Rockets are 3-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 216 points.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can make on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Rockets (+3) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Heat winning by three, the model has the Rockets taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (6.6 points). Take the Rockets.
- So far this year, Houston has put together a 42-32-2 record against the spread.
- The Rockets have been an underdog by 3 points or more 40 times this year, and covered the spread in 18 of those contests.
- So far this season, Miami has put together a 36-37-3 record against the spread.
- The Heat have been favored by 3 points or more 30 times this season, and covered the spread in 12 of those contests.
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Total: Over 216
- The model predicts a total 6.5 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Miami’s games have had more than 216 points scored on 42 occasions this year.
- There have been 49 Houston’s games this year with more than 216 points scored.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over 30 out of 76 times this season.
- The Rockets and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 37 out of 76 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (+130)
- Prediction: Rockets 113, Heat 109
- This season, Miami has been favored 43 times and won 31, or 72.1%, of those games.
- Houston has been an underdog in 48 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (31.2%) in those contests.
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Terry Rozier Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Terry Rozier posts 20.1 points, 4.1 boards and 5.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.4 blocks.
- He has collected 4.1 rebounds per game, 0.6 higher than his prop bet on Friday.
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 31 times this season in his 60 games sportsbooks set a prop.
- The Rockets are the third-best team in the NBA in rebounds per game (45.6) and are ranked 23rd in rebounds conceded (44.7).
See all available player props for Terry Rozier and other Heat players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jalen Green Points Prop: Under 23.5
- The Rockets are receiving 19.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Jalen Green this year.
- Friday’s points prop bet for Green is 23.5 points. That is 3.6 more than his season average of 19.9.
- In 76 games this season with a points prop total, Green has gone over the total 35 times.
- Although the Heat are scoring just 109.8 points per game (fourth-worst in NBA), their defense has been giving them a nice lift, as they rank fourth-best in the league by surrendering 108.4 points per game.
Check out the prop bets available for Jalen Green and other Rockets players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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