In a matchup featuring a pair of the best offensive teams in the league, the Indiana Pacers (43-34) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-24) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on April 5, 2024. The Pacers are first in points per game (122.7), and the Thunder are fourth (119.9). Indiana is a big favorite, by six points. The matchup has an over/under set at 234.5 points.
Check out below for the best bets you can place on Friday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Thunder (+6) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Thunder compared to the DraftKings line, a 7.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Friday’s game outright. Put your money on the Thunder.
- Oklahoma City’s ATS record is 42-33-1 this season.
- The Thunder have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
- Indiana is 41-33-3 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 6-point favorites this season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 10-9-1.
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Total: Over 234.5
- The model projects a total 3.6 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- A total of 48 times so far this season, Indiana and its opponent have combined to score more than 234.5 points.
- So far this season, 37 Oklahoma City’s games have featured more than 234.5 points scored.
- A total of 37 out of the Pacers’ 77 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 40 out of 76 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (+185)
- Prediction: Thunder 120, Pacers 118
- This season, Indiana has won 23 out of the 40 games, or 57.5%, in which it has been favored.
- Oklahoma City has come away with 10 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop: Over 8.5
- Pascal Siakam posts 22.2 points, 6.3 boards and 4.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- He has grabbed 6.3 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Friday’s game (8.5).
- He has grabbed more rebounds than his over/under in 36 of his 78 games with that prop available this season.
- The Thunder are the fourth-worst team in the NBA in rebounds per game (41.7) and 24th in rebounds allowed (44.8).
Check out all available player props for Pascal Siakam and other Pacers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Josh Giddey Points Prop: Over 17.5
- Josh Giddey is putting up 12.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. He is making 47.8% of his shots from the field and 34.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per contest.
- The 17.5-point over/under for Giddey on Friday is 5.2 higher than his scoring average on the season (12.3).
- Giddey has gone over on his points prop total 36 times this season out of 75 games with such a prop.
- The Pacers have had to rely on their offense, which ranks best in the NBA (122.7 points per game), as they rank third-worst in the league defensively with only 120.3 points allowed per contest.
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