The Phoenix Suns (45-31) are favored, by 4.5 points, over the Minnesota Timberwolves (53-23) on April 5, 2024 at Footprint Center. The Timberwolves are red-hot, having won two in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games, yet are still the underdogs. The matchup’s over/under is 216.5.
Before you place an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available in Friday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Timberwolves (+4.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Timberwolves in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Suns favored and the difference between the two is 7.0 points.
- So far this season, Minnesota has compiled a 39-35-2 record against the spread.
- The Timberwolves are 4-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
- Phoenix is 32-42-2 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Suns have an ATS record of 14-20-1.
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Total: Over 216.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (224.9 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (216.5 points). Bet on the over.
- A total of 61 times so far this year, Phoenix and its opponent have combined to score more than 216.5 points.
- Minnesota’s games have finished with over 216.5 points scored 49 times this year.
- The Suns and their opponents have combined to hit the over 34 out of 76 times this season.
- In the Timberwolves’ 76 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 37 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (+154)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 114, Suns 111
- Phoenix has entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 36, or 65.5%, of those games.
- Minnesota has been victorious in nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop: Under 8.5
- Jusuf Nurkic puts up 11.2 points, 3.8 assists and 11.0 rebounds per game.
- Nurkic’s 11.2 points per game are 2.7 points higher than Friday’s over/under.
- This season, he is 28-for-73 at going over the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA in points scored (113.1 per game) and best in points conceded (106.0).
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Mike Conley Rebounds Prop: Under 2.5
- Mike Conley is putting up 11.3 points, 2.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game. He is sinking 45.7% of his shots from the floor and 43.8% from 3-point range (fourth in league), with 2.3 triples per contest.
- He has collected 2.8 rebounds per game, 0.3 higher than his prop bet on Friday.
- This will be his 75th game this season with a rebound prop and so far he has hit the over 36 times.
- The Suns rank third-best in the NBA by allowing just 41.1 rebounds per game. They rank ninth in the league by averaging 44.3 rebounds per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Mike Conley and other Timberwolves players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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