The New York Knicks (44-31) host the Sacramento Kings (44-31) at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, April 4, 2024. The Kings are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 213.5 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Thursday’s game.
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Spread: Knicks (-3.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Knicks favored by 3.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (5.4 points).
- New York’s ATS record is 39-33-3 this season.
- The Knicks have an ATS record of 19-12-1 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
- So far this season, Sacramento has compiled a 38-36-1 record against the spread.
- The Kings have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more 12 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those matchups.
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Total: Over 213.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (226.6 points) much higher than the DraftKings over/under (213.5 points). Bet on the over.
- New York’s games have had more than 213.5 points scored on 47 occasions this year.
- So far this year, 61 Sacramento’s games have featured more than 213.5 points scored.
- In the Knicks’ 75 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 31 times.
- A total of 34 Kings games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Knicks (-162)
- Prediction: Knicks 116, Kings 111
- New York has won 32, or 76.2%, of the 42 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Sacramento has come away with 12 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jalen Brunson Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Jalen Brunson posts 27.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game, shooting 47.5% from the floor and 39.7% from downtown with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.
- He has averaged 0.1 more rebounds per game (3.6) than his prop bet total in Thursday’s game (3.5).
- This will be his 77th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has hit the over 32 times.
- The Kings grab 43.9 rebounds per game and concede 42.3 boards, ranking 11th and eighth, respectively, in the league.
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Domantas Sabonis Points Prop: Under 18.5
- Domantas Sabonis delivers 19.6 points, 13.7 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game for the Kings.
- The 18.5-point over/under set for Sabonis on Thursday is 1.1 lower than his scoring average of 19.6.
- This season Sabonis is 37-for-76 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- The Knicks are putting up 112.4 points per game this year (20th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really provided a lift defensively, giving up just 107.9 points per contest (second-best).
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