In a game featuring one of the struggling squads in the NBA, the Utah Jazz (29-46) battle the Cleveland Cavaliers (45-30) at Vivint Smart Home Arena on April 2, 2024. The Jazz have lost nine in a row and are 1-9 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 9.5 points. The matchup’s point total is set at 216.5.
Looking to make an informed wager on Tuesday’s game? Dig into the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Jazz (+9.5) to Cover
- The Cavaliers are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (9.5 to 4.9 points). Take the Jazz and the points.
- So far this season, Utah has put together a 38-37-0 record against the spread.
- The Jazz have covered the spread twice this year (2-7 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point underdogs.
- So far this season, Cleveland has put together a 35-38-2 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 4-7.
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Total: Over 216.5
- The model projects a total (229.5 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (216.5 points). Take the over.
- In 44 games this year, Cleveland and its opponent have combined for more than 216.5 points.
- Utah’s games have gone over 216.5 points on 68 occasions this season.
- A total of 36 out of the Cavaliers’ 75 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Jazz and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 40 out of 75 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-470)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 117, Jazz 112
- This season, Cleveland has been favored 49 times and won 34, or 69.4%, of those games.
- Utah has won in 16, or 28.6%, of the 56 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Donovan Mitchell Points Prop: Over 23.5
- Donovan Mitchell posts 26.8 points, 6.1 assists and 5.2 rebounds per game.
- The 23.5-point prop total set for Mitchell on Tuesday is 3.3 less than his scoring average on the season (26.8).
- Mitchell has exceeded his points prop total 22 times this season out of 61 games with such a prop.
- In 2023-24, the Jazz are 12th in the league offensively (116.2 points scored per game) and second-worst defensively (120.6 points conceded).
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Collin Sexton Points Prop: Under 23.5
- On a per-game basis, Collin Sexton gets the Jazz 18.8 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- The 18.8 points Sexton scores per game are 4.7 less than his over/under on Tuesday.
- This season Sexton is 39-for-68 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- With 112.6 points per game on offense, the Cavaliers are 20th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they allow 109.7 points per contest, which ranks sixth in the league.
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