A matchup featuring two of the strongest defensive teams in the league will see the Miami Heat (41-33) as 2.5-point favorites against the New York Knicks (44-30) at FTX Arena on April 2, 2024. The Heat are fourth in points conceded per game (108.5), and the Knicks are second (107.9). The matchup has a 205.5 point total.
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Heat vs. Knicks Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | -2.5 | 205.5 |
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Injury Report as of April 2
Heat: Terry Rozier: Probable (Knee), Terry Rozier: Probable (Knee), Duncan Robinson: Probable (Back), Caleb Martin: Probable (Ankle), Nikola Jovic: Probable (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee)
Knicks: Mitchell Robinson: Questionable (Ankle), Julius Randle: Out (Shoulder), OG Anunoby: Out (Elbow)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Knicks (+2.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (205.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Heat vs. Knicks Stat Rankings
| Heat Avg. (Rank) | Knicks Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 109.9 (27th) | Points Scored | 112.6 (20th) |
| 108.5 (4th) | Points Allowed | 107.9 (2nd) |
| 42.1 (25th) | Rebounds | 45.8 (4th) |
| 9.3 (27th) | Off. Rebounds | 12.9 (1st) |
| 12.4 (18th) | 3pt Made | 13.2 (11th) |
| 25.7 (20th) | Assists | 24.2 (29th) |
| 11.7 (4th) | Turnovers | 12.3 (11th) |
Best Betting Site for Heat vs. Knicks
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Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | 30 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Jimmy Butler | 52 | 21 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 63 | 19.8 | 10.6 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Terry Rozier | 27 | 16.1 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 1 | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| Duncan Robinson | 64 | 13.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.9 |
Knicks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 69 | 27.9 | 3.6 | 6.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.7 |
| Bojan Bogdanovic | 28 | 20.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.1 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 73 | 15 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.4 |
| Alec Burks | 43 | 12.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Bojan Bogdanovic | 21 | 10.1 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 1.6 |
Betting Trends
- The Heat are 35-36-3 against the spread this year.
- As 2.5-point favorites or more, Miami is 13-16-2 against the spread.
- This year, 28 of the Heat’s 74 games have gone over the point total.
- Miami’s games have finished with more than 205.5 points 54 times so far this season.
- The over/under in this matchup is 205.5 points, and that’s 12.9 less than the average total in this season’s Heat contests.
- The Knicks have beaten the spread 39 times in 74 games.
- New York has an ATS record of 8-15-2 as a 2.5-point underdog or more.
- Out of 74 Knicks games so far this season, 30 have hit the over.
- New York’s games have had over 205.5 points 58 times this season.
- The average total for Knicks games is 220.5 points, which is 15.0 more than this game’s over/under.
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