The Minnesota Timberwolves (51-23) play the Houston Rockets (38-36) on April 2, 2024 at Target Center. The Rockets are underdogs by a 7.5-point margin despite entering the matchup with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 214 points.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can make on Tuesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Timberwolves to walk away with the win, but the model spread (9.4) is 1.9 points further in their direction.
- Minnesota is 38-34-2 against the spread this season.
- The Timberwolves have been favored by 7.5 points or more 29 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those contests.
- So far this season, Houston has compiled a 41-31-2 record against the spread.
- The Rockets are 7-5-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 214
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (8.9 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Minnesota and its opponent have broken the 214-point mark 51 times this year.
- Houston’s games have gone over 214 points on 49 occasions this season.
- So far this season, 35 out of the Timberwolves’ 74 games have gone over the point total.
- So far this year, 35 out of the Rockets’ 74 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-285)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 116, Rockets 107
- This season, Minnesota has won 41 out of the 55 games, or 74.5%, in which it has been favored.
- Houston has been an underdog in 46 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (32.6%) in those contests.
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Mike Conley Assists Prop: Under 6.5
- Mike Conley puts up 11.3 points, 2.8 boards and 6.0 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Conley’s assist average — 6.0 — is 0.5 lower than Tuesday’s over/under (6.5).
- Conley has collected enough assists to hit the over on his prop 35 times (in 72 chances).
Check out all available player props for Mike Conley and other Timberwolves players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop: Under 13.5
- The Rockets are receiving 13.6 points, 8.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Jabari Smith Jr. this season.
- Tuesday’s points prop for Smith Jr. is 13.5. That’s 0.1 less than his season average.
- Smith Jr. has hit the over on his points prop total 32 times this season out of 71 games with such a prop.
- The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by allowing just 106.2 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (112.9 per contest).
Check out the prop bets available for Jabari Smith Jr. and other Rockets players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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