The Orlando Magic (43-31) are strongly favored, by 16.5 points, versus the Portland Trail Blazers (19-55) on April 1, 2024 at Amway Center. It’s a contest featuring a pair of the top squads in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer — the Magic are third (11.4 triples conceded per game) and the Trail Blazers are fifth (11.8). The matchup has an over/under set at 210 points.
If you are aiming to gain an edge on Monday’s game, find out the best bets available for this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+16.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (14.7 points) is a little bit less than the 16.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Magic, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Portland has a 34-39-1 record against the spread this season.
- Orlando is 48-26-0 ATS this season.
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Total: Over 210
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (11.1 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Orlando and its opponent have broken the 210-point mark 49 times this season.
- So far this season, 57 Portland’s games have featured more than 210 points scored.
- A total of 31 out of the Magic’s 74 games this season have hit the over.
- A total of 38 Trail Blazers games this year have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (-1800)
- Prediction: Magic 118, Trail Blazers 103
- Orlando has been the favorite in 32 games this season and won 27 (84.4%) of those contests.
- Portland has won in 18, or 26.5%, of the 68 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Franz Wagner Points Prop: Over 17.5
- Franz Wagner puts up 19.5 points, 3.8 assists and 5.3 boards per game.
- Monday’s over/under for Wagner is 17.5. That is 2.0 less than his season average.
- Wagner has had 66 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 30 times.
- In 2023-24, the Trail Blazers are third-worst in the league offensively (107.2 points scored per game) and 19th defensively (116.2 points allowed).
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Deandre Ayton Rebounds Prop: Under 9.5
- On a per-game basis, Deandre Ayton gives the Trail Blazers 15.8 points, 11.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
- He has averaged 11.0 rebounds per game, 1.5 more than his prop bet for Monday’s game (9.5).
- This will be his 50th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over 21 times.
- With 40.0 rebounds allowed per game, the Magic rank best in the league. They rank 21st in the league by pulling down 42.5 rebounds per contest.
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